Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday


	Philip Sekulic		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.41
	1.58	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Sekulic
59.9%

Christoph Negritu
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Philip Sekulic - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sekulic will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Negritu will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Negritu: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sekulic is ranked ATP: 329. Negritu is ranked ATP: 409.

Recent matches Sekulic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Negritu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Negritu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sekulic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Yuta Shimizu - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Philip Sekulic - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Yusuke Takahashi - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Philip Sekulic - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Alexander Blockx - Philip Sekulic	Blockx A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWL?
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Benjamin Hassan - Christoph Negritu	Hassan B. retired ✺
27.11.24	Federico Cina - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Christoph Negritu - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Christoph Negritu - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Christoph Negritu - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 ?WWWW

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