Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Referee: Benvenuto A. (Ita)


	Pierluigi Basile		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.76)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierluigi Basile
43.4%

Andrea Guerrieri
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierluigi Basile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pierluigi Basile's performance.

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierluigi Basile that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Guerrieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pierluigi Basile - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Basile will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basile: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basile is ranked ATP: 1053. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 576.

Recent matches Basile is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guerrieri is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guerrieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guerrieri will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierluigi Basile
ITF Tournaments
31.08.24	Pierluigi Basile - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Pierluigi Basile - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Gabriele Piraino - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Pierluigi Basile - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Pierluigi Basile - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Dylan Dietrich - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Michiel De Krom - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
10.07.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Pierluigi Basile - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide