Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 20 November 2023, Monday


	Pierre-Hugues Herbert		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.82	1.85	Watch
	1.87	1.89
	1.87	1.9
	1.8	1.91
	1.67	2.13	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
51.9%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pierre Hugues Herbert - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Herbert: 40% – 93.4%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Herbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Herbert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Vasil Kirkov	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
10.11.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Ignacio Parisca - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.23	Miguel Damas - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Darwin Blanch - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Goncalo Oliveira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

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