Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ljubljana, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ljubljana 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pietro Orlando Fellin		Jan Kupcic

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.81)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietro Orlando Fellin
43.9%

Jan Kupcic
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pietro Orlando Fellin's form might have worsened.

Jan Kupcic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jan Kupcic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pietro Orlando Fellin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kupcic than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan Kupcic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Fellin is ranked ATP: 779. Kupcic is ranked ATP: 951.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kupcic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Vito Tonejc	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Jack Loge - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Maxime Cressy	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Jan Kupcic
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Jan Kupcic - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Jan Kupcic - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Jan Kupcic - Dusan Obradovic	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Matteo Fondriest - Jan Kupcic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Pietro Orlando Fellin - Jan Kupcic

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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