Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Luan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Polina Iatcenko		Aliona Falei

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.46
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.91)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
34.1%

Aliona Falei
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Polina Iatcenko - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 160. Falei is ranked WTA: 238.

Recent performances by Iatcenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Falei is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Falei may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Falei is a strong favorite.

We predict that Falei will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Iatcenko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Yu Jun Lin - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Polina Iatcenko - Kathinka Von Deichmann	Iatcenko P. retired ✺
21.02.26	Polina Iatcenko - Hanne Van De Winkel	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Talia Gibson - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Arina Garbiela Vasilescu - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 L?LWW
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
28.03.26	Aliona Falei - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Aliona Falei - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Yidi Yang - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Jiaqi Wang - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Hibah Shaikh - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.08.23	Polina Iatcenko - Aliona Falei	2:0
13.04.23	Aliona Falei - Polina Iatcenko	0:2
05.04.23	Polina Iatcenko - Aliona Falei	Iatcenko P. retired
23.09.22	Aliona Falei - Polina Iatcenko	2:1

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