Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rovereto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rovereto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Polina Iatcenko		Harmony Tan

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.50	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.55	2.40
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.50	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	2.4 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
61.1%

Harmony Tan
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Harmony Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 160., and Tan is ranked WTA: 230..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Iatcenko is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Iatcenko has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Polina Iatcenko - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.12%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Polina Iatcenko - Dalma Galfi	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Polina Iatcenko - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Polina Iatcenko - Erika Andreeva	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Polina Iatcenko - Ekaterine Gorgodze	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWL?
- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Harmony Tan - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Harmony Tan - Carson Tanguilig	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Harmony Tan - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Harmony Tan - Sofia Johnson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0
20.07.23	Harmony Tan - Polina Iatcenko	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Sada Nahimana - Harmony Tan	✺

Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan