Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Polina Iatcenko		Haruna Arakawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.22	4
	1.09	3.93	Watch
	1.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.31)	3.95 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
76.9%

Haruna Arakawa
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Iatcenko's performance.

Haruna Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haruna Arakawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Iatcenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haruna Arakawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Arakawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Iatcenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
03.08.23	Polina Iatcenko - Kira Pavlova	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Polina Iatcenko - Tatyana Nikolenko	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Maria Bondarenko - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Anastasia Kovaleva - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Polina Iatcenko - Momoko Kobori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW
- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
03.08.23	Yekaterina Dmitrichenko - Haruna Arakawa	1:2 ✺
02.08.23	Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty - Haruna Arakawa	1:2 ✺
12.07.23	Haruna Arakawa - Patcharin Cheapchandej	Arakawa H. retired ✺
11.07.23	Haruna Arakawa - Honoka Kobayashi	2:0 ✺
03.07.23	Haruna Arakawa - Sohyun Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WW?WL

Polina Iatcenko - Haruna Arakawa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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