Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Lopota, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Polina Iatcenko		Malene Helgo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.25
	1.37	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	3.15 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
70.4%

Malene Helgo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Iatcenko's performance.

Malene Helgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malene Helgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Iatcenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malene Helgo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malene Helgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polina Iatcenko - Malene Helgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 418. Helgo is ranked WTA: 428.

Iatcenko is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Helgo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Helgo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Iatcenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Polina Iatcenko - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Polina Iatcenko - Valentini Grammatikopoulou	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Polina Iatcenko - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Polina Iatcenko - Jacqueline Cabaj Awad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Malene Helgo
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
09.04.25	Malene Helgo - Jahnie Van Zyl	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Malene Helgo - Lina Gjorcheska	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.25	Malene Helgo - Valeriya Strakhova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Malene Helgo - Amarni Banks	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Aoi Ito - Malene Helgo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLW

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