Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ourense, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Polina Iatcenko		Maria Martinez Vaquero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.55	2.35
	1.5	2.52
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
			Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)	2.37 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
60.6%

Maria Martinez Vaquero
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Iatcenko's performance.

Maria Martinez Vaquero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Martinez Vaquero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Iatcenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Martinez Vaquero than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Martinez Vaquero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polina Iatcenko - Maria Martinez Vaquero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 352. Martinez Vaquero is ranked WTA: 661.

Iatcenko has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Martinez Vaquero is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Iatcenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Iatcenko will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Polina Iatcenko - Min Liu	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Polina Iatcenko - Zarina Diyas	Iatcenko P. retired ✺
18.06.25	Polina Iatcenko - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Polina Iatcenko - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WW?WW
- Maria Martinez Vaquero
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	Burillo Escorihuela I. retired ✺
06.08.25	Malene Helgo - Maria Martinez Vaquero	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Gabriela Knutson - Maria Martinez Vaquero	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.4 ?WLWW

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