Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Polina Iatcenko		Storm Hunter

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.37
	3.2	1.41
	3	1.35	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.56)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
32.6%

Storm Hunter
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Storm Hunter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storm Hunter than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Polina Iatcenko - Storm Hunter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 165. Hunter is ranked WTA: 201.

Recent performances by Iatcenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hunter's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iatcenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hunter is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Aoi Ito - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Rina Saigo - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Gabriela Knutson - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW
- Storm Hunter
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Storm Hunter	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Storm Hunter - Lucie Havlickova	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
16.03.26	Storm Hunter - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Storm Hunter - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Storm Hunter - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW

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