Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Damaske C. (Ger)


	Polina Kudermetova		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.3
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.69	1.29
	3.53	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.27	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.77)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kudermetova
27.4%

Arantxa Rus
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kudermetova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polina Kudermetova's form might have worsened.

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arantxa Rus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polina Kudermetova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Polina Kudermetova - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: Arantxa Rus will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 173. Rus is ranked WTA: 101.

Recent matches Kudermetova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rus is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kudermetova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kudermetova
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Jana Fett - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Polina Kudermetova - Johanna Silva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Polina Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Jil Belen Teichmann - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
07.08.24	Lea Boskovic - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Suzan Lamens - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
29.07.24	Arantxa Rus - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Olivia Gadecki - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Arantxa Rus	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.08.22	Arantxa Rus - Polina Kudermetova	2:1

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