Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4, clay - Final

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Polina Kudermetova		Fiona Ferro

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.28
	1.62	2.44
	1.54	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.87)	2.35 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kudermetova
59.8%

Fiona Ferro
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Kudermetova's performance.

Fiona Ferro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiona Ferro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Kudermetova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiona Ferro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Polina Kudermetova - Fiona Ferro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kudermetova will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ferro will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 137. Ferro is ranked WTA: 246.

Kudermetova is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ferro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kudermetova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fiona Ferro - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kudermetova
ATP Challenger
25.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Polina Kudermetova	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Lea Boskovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Fiona Ferro
ATP Challenger
25.04.26	Fiona Ferro - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Elena Pridankina - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Lucie Havlickova - Fiona Ferro	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Fiona Ferro - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	2:1 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.26	Fiona Ferro - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Fiona Ferro - Polina Kudermetova	0:2
WTA Australian Open
11.01.24	Polina Kudermetova - Fiona Ferro	1:2

Polina Kudermetova - Fiona Ferro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide