Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Polina Kuharenko		Tian Jialin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.59)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Kuharenko
52%

Tian Jialin
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Kuharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polina Kuharenko's form might have worsened.

Tian Jialin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tian Jialin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Kuharenko than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polina Kuharenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tian Jialin than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tian Jialin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polina Kuharenko - Tian Jialin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jialin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kuharenko is ranked WTA: 833. Jialin is ranked WTA: 674.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kuharenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kuharenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Kuharenko
ITF Tournaments
07.01.26	Lan Mi - Polina Kuharenko	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Polina Kuharenko - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Aya El Sayed - Polina Kuharenko	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Polina Kuharenko - Julie Belgraver	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Carolina Kuhl - Polina Kuharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW
- Tian Jialin
ITF Tournaments
02.01.26	Yasmin Ezzat - Tian Jialin	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Selya Rakki - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Sera Nishimoto - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
25.12.25	Tian Jialin - Ran Wakana	0:2 ✺
24.12.25	Tian Jialin - Diana Maria Ilie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW

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