Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hillcrest 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hillcrest 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Polina Leykina		Darja Suvirdjonkova

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Polina Leykina
70%

Darja Suvirdjonkova
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Leykina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Leykina's performance.

Darja Suvirdjonkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Suvirdjonkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Leykina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Suvirdjonkova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Leykina is ranked WTA: 979. Suvirdjonkova is ranked WTA: 903.

Recent performances by Leykina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Suvirdjonkova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Suvirdjonkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leykina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Leykina
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Polina Leykina - Kira Pavlova	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Andre Lukosiute - Polina Leykina	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Erin McKenzie - Polina Leykina	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Astrid Cirotte - Polina Leykina	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Caterina Odorizzi - Polina Leykina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW
- Darja Suvirdjonkova
ITF Tournaments
08.07.25	Darja Suvirdjonkova - Michika Ozeki	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Lexue Xiao - Darja Suvirdjonkova	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Yichen Zhao - Darja Suvirdjonkova	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Darja Suvirdjonkova - Victoria Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Georgia Pedone - Darja Suvirdjonkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Polina Leykina - Darja Suvirdjonkova