Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Gregorio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Polona Hercog		Noemi Basiletti

	1	2
	1.33	3
	1.35	3.28
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.34	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	3.05 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
69.6%

Noemi Basiletti
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Noemi Basiletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polona Hercog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noemi Basiletti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polona Hercog - Noemi Basiletti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hercog is ranked WTA: 303. Basiletti is ranked WTA: 446.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Basiletti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hercog is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.26	Rada Zolotareva - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Polona Hercog - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Polona Hercog - Jessica Bertoldo	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Polona Hercog - Andreea Prisacariu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW
- Noemi Basiletti
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Noemi Basiletti	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dayeon Back - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Noemi Basiletti - Chenting Zhu	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Alina Granwehr - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Noemi Basiletti - Han Shi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

Polona Hercog - Noemi Basiletti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide