Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Incheon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Incheon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Priska Madelyn Nugroho		Varvara Panshina

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Priska Madelyn Nugroho
67.6%

Varvara Panshina
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Priska Madelyn Nugroho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Varvara Panshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Priska Madelyn Nugroho than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Panshina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nugroho is ranked WTA: 329. Panshina is ranked WTA: 615.

Nugroho is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Panshina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Panshina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nugroho is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Priska Madelyn Nugroho
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Saki Imamura - Priska Madelyn Nugroho	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Valeria Savinykh - Priska Madelyn Nugroho	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Jiaqi Wang	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Anna Petkovic - Priska Madelyn Nugroho	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Ikumi Yamazaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Varvara Panshina
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Varvara Panshina - Wushuang Zheng	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Zongyu Li - Varvara Panshina	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Varvara Panshina - Yuhan Wang	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Varvara Panshina - Maria Golovina	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Varvara Panshina - Adelina Lachinova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Varvara Panshina