Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Luan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Qian Sun		Kousuke Ogura

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Qian Sun
45.8%

Kousuke Ogura
54.2%

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

48.3%

51.7%

Qian Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qian Sun than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sun is ranked ATP: 959. Ogura is ranked ATP: 932.

In recent matches, Sun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ogura is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ogura will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qian Sun
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Jie Cui - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Qian Sun - Ye Cong Mo	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Qian Sun - Xing Dao Chen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.04.26	Akira Santillan - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWWLL
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Yuta Tomida - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Eric Olivarez - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Kousuke Ogura - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Jake Delaney - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Kousuke Ogura - Taisei Ichikawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW

Qian Sun - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide