The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qinwen Zheng 43.9%
Emma Raducanu 56.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qinwen Zheng's form might have worsened.
Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emma Raducanu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qinwen Zheng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emma Raducanu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.7%
0%
53.3%
Qinwen Zheng - Emma Raducanu Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). Raducanu will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raducanu: 33.5% – 69.9%.