Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Italy	Super Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Qinwen Zheng		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.66	2.35
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)	2.28 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qinwen Zheng
58.3%

Marta Kostyuk
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qinwen Zheng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Qinwen Zheng - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zheng is ranked WTA: 9. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 24.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kostyuk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zheng will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zheng won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Qinwen Zheng - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Qinwen Zheng - Victoria Azarenka	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Qinwen Zheng - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Qinwen Zheng - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Laura Siegemund - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marta Kostyuk - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Marta Kostyuk - Robin Montgomery	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
25.02.25	Marta Kostyuk - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Qinwen Zheng - Marta Kostyuk	1:2
WTA Montreal
08.08.23	Marta Kostyuk - Qinwen Zheng	1:2

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