Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Quentin Halys		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.37
	3	1.36
	3.09	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.24)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
31.2%

Mikael Ymer
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quentin Halys's form might have worsened.

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikael Ymer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quentin Halys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikael Ymer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	0%	86.2%

Quentin Halys - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Mikael Ymer will win (56 of 65 users predict this - 86.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.75% – 94.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Halys in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ymer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ymer is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ymer to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
16.10.22	Quentin Halys - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Quentin Halys - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Quentin Halys - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
13.10.22	Quentin Halys - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Quentin Halys - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Florence
15.10.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Tim Van Rijthoven - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

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