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Current Win Probability
Rafael Tosetto 29.1%
Natan Rodrigues 70.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rafael Tosetto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Tosetto's form might have worsened.
Natan Rodrigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Natan Rodrigues's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Tosetto than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael Tosetto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natan Rodrigues than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Natan Rodrigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Tosetto is ranked ATP: 1479.Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 1448.
Tosetto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rodrigues has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tosetto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
Watch
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