Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ithaca, NY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ithaca 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rafael Ymer		Connor Plunkett

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Rafael Ymer
40.9%

Connor Plunkett
59.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Ymer's form might have worsened.

Connor Plunkett has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connor Plunkett's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ymer is ranked ATP: 2078..

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Ymer
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Rafael Ymer - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Carles Hernandez - Rafael Ymer	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Vesa Ahti - Rafael Ymer	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Rafael Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
12.10.24	Rafael Ymer - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Connor Plunkett
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Connor Plunkett	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L

Rafael Ymer - Connor Plunkett