Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Raphael Collignon		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.63	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.31	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
55.7%

Dalibor Svrcina
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Raphael Collignon - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raphael Collignon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 91. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 132.

Collignon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Svrcina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Collignon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski	Choinski J. retired ✺
09.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WWLW
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Filip Misolic - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Radu Albot - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Valentin Royer - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

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