Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saguenay, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday


	Raphaelle Lacasse		Ariana Arseneault

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Raphaelle Lacasse
24.2%

Ariana Arseneault
75.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphaelle Lacasse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphaelle Lacasse's form might have worsened.

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ariana Arseneault's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lacasse is ranked WTA: 758., and Arseneault is ranked WTA: 352..

Performances by Arseneault have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arseneault may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Arseneault is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphaelle Lacasse
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Raphaelle Lacasse - Jamilah Snells	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Raphaelle Lacasse	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Raphaelle Lacasse - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Cadence Brace - Raphaelle Lacasse	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Raphaelle Lacasse - Hina Inoue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Mingge Xu - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Ayana Akli - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Madison Sieg - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	✺

Raphaelle Lacasse - Ariana Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide