Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Rebecca Sramkova		Beatriz Haddad Maia

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.9	Watch
	1.83	2.04
	1.84	1.95	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.85	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Sramkova
51.9%

Beatriz Haddad Maia
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Beatriz Haddad Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	0%	71.9%

Rebecca Sramkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sramkova will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Haddad Maia will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haddad Maia: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sramkova is ranked WTA: 40. Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 17.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Haddad Maia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sramkova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Merida
25.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Elena Rybakina - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Mirra Andreeva	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Anhelina Kalinina - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW
- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
09.02.25	Magdalena Frech - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
13.01.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.06.21	Rebecca Sramkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0

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