Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Charlottesville, VA, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Renata Zarazua		Elizabeth Mandlik

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.33	3.35
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.29	3.2
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	3.2 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
70.9%

Elizabeth Mandlik
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renata Zarazua's performance.

Elizabeth Mandlik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elizabeth Mandlik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renata Zarazua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizabeth Mandlik than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elizabeth Mandlik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renata Zarazua - Elizabeth Mandlik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 87. Mandlik is ranked WTA: 176.

Zarazua has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mandlik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Zarazua is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Zarazua will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zarazua won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.34%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Gina Feistel	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Haley Giavara	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Elizabeth Mandlik
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Mary Stoiana - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Kristina Liutova - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Alana Smith - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Francesca Jones - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
30.03.26	Elizabeth Mandlik - Julieta Pareja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Renata Zarazua	0:2
02.12.23	Renata Zarazua - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
11.05.20	Elizabeth Mandlik - Renata Zarazua	1:2

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