Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Riccardo Bonadio		Daniel Masur

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.25	Watch
	3.4	1.25
	3.69	1.26
	3.4	1.3
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.43)	1.27 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
26.7%

Daniel Masur
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.

Daniel Masur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Masur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Masur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Riccardo Bonadio - Daniel Masur Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Masur will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Recent matches Bonadio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Masur in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Masur is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Daniel Masur - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.24	Daniel Masur - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Daniel Masur - Antoine Hoang	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Daniel Masur - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Riccardo Bonadio - Daniel Masur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide