Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Rina Saigo		Natsumi Kawaguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rina Saigo
55.9%

Natsumi Kawaguchi
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rina Saigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Natsumi Kawaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rina Saigo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Rina Saigo - Natsumi Kawaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saigo is ranked WTA: 300. Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 417.

Saigo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kawaguchi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kawaguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saigo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rina Saigo
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Katie Swan - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Yuno Kitahara - Rina Saigo	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Shiho Tsujioka - Rina Saigo	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Kanon Sawashiro - Rina Saigo	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Dalayna Hewitt - Rina Saigo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
21.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mei Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Yuno Kitahara - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Fangran Tian	Tian F. Retired ✺
12.03.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Rina Saigo - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0
22.08.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Rina Saigo	0:2

Rina Saigo - Natsumi Kawaguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide