Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Osaka, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Haruka Kaji		Natsumi Kawaguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.22
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
57.8%

Natsumi Kawaguchi
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natsumi Kawaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Natsumi Kawaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 327. Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 430.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kaji won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Hikaru Sato	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Haruka Kaji - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Haruka Kaji - Nao Hibino	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Haruka Kaji - Sae Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW
- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Yuno Kitahara - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Fangran Tian	Tian F. Retired ✺
12.03.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Haruka Kaji	0:2
27.05.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Haruka Kaji	0:2

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