Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hong Kong 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Rinko Matsuda		Mayuka Aikawa

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.36	2.95
			Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)	2.85 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinko Matsuda
67.5%

Mayuka Aikawa
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinko Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinko Matsuda's performance.

Mayuka Aikawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mayuka Aikawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinko Matsuda than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinko Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mayuka Aikawa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mayuka Aikawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked WTA: 602. Aikawa is ranked WTA: 691.

Matsuda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aikawa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aikawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Matsuda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinko Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Rinko Matsuda - Ayaka Ozeki	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Jia-Jing Lu - Rinko Matsuda	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Rinko Matsuda - Naomi Xu	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Rinko Matsuda - Ramu Ueda	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Hiromi Abe - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL
- Mayuka Aikawa
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Laalitya Kalluri	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Vivian Yang - Mayuka Aikawa	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Ayano Shimizu - Mayuka Aikawa	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.10.23	Rinko Matsuda - Mayuka Aikawa	1:2

Rinko Matsuda - Mayuka Aikawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide