Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Tianjin 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Rinko Matsuda		Ya Yi Yang

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.15	1.62
	2.23	1.67
	2.07	1.65	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinko Matsuda
43.3%

Ya Yi Yang
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinko Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinko Matsuda's form might have worsened.

Ya Yi Yang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ya Yi Yang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinko Matsuda than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ya Yi Yang than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Rinko Matsuda - Ya Yi Yang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked WTA: 484. Yang is ranked WTA: 502.

Matsuda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yang's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinko Matsuda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Ya Yi Yang - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinko Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Rinko Matsuda - Na-Ri Kim	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Rinko Matsuda - Xiran Lan	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Kamonwan Yodpetch - Rinko Matsuda	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Daria Belyaeva - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Sofiia Suslova - Rinko Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Ya Yi Yang
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Ru Xi Wu - Ya Yi Yang	Wu R. X. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Yingqun Sun - Ya Yi Yang	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Thasaporn Naklo - Ya Yi Yang	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Dabin Kim - Ya Yi Yang	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Xi Luo - Ya Yi Yang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WLWW

Rinko Matsuda - Ya Yi Yang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide