Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARSEILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: MARSEILLE (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:05	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:05	SportKlub
Bulgaria	19:05	Max Sport 1
Croatia	18:05	SportKlub
Czech Republic	18:05	Premier Sport 3
France	18:05	beIN Sports
Germany	18:05	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	17:05	Sport TV3
Romania	19:05	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	18:05	SportKlub
Slovenia	18:05	SportKlub


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.62
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.51	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)	2.59 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
63.2%

Richard Gasquet
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Gasquet will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 4.

Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gasquet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gasquet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bautista-Agut will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
08.01.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.24	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Fabian Marozsan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Montpellier
30.01.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Richard Gasquet - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
12.01.24	Marc Polmans - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Arthur Fils - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.24	Richard Gasquet - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
29.09.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet	3:0
ATP Cincinnati
24.08.20	Richard Gasquet - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Basel
24.10.19	Richard Gasquet - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.19	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet	1:2
ATP Montreal
08.08.19	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet	2:0
ATP Halle
20.06.19	Richard Gasquet - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Tokyo
06.10.15	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet	2:0

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet