Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Florence, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Robin Anderson		Usue Maitane Arconada

	1	2
	1.95	1.76
	2	1.78
	2.02	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robin Anderson
45.6%

Usue Maitane Arconada
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robin Anderson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Usue Maitane Arconada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Anderson than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Robin Anderson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Usue Maitane Arconada than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Usue Maitane Arconada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Anderson is ranked WTA: 324. Arconada is ranked WTA: 403.

In recent matches, Anderson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arconada has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arconada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Anderson won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robin Anderson
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Robin Anderson - Kylie Collins	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Robin Anderson - Jada Robinson	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Cadence Brace - Robin Anderson	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Maria Kononova - Robin Anderson	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Kaitlyn Rolls - Robin Anderson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Usue Maitane Arconada
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Valeria Glozman - Usue Maitane Arconada	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Salma Ewing - Usue Maitane Arconada	Ewing S. retired ✺
15.07.25	Darja Vidmanova - Usue Maitane Arconada	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.02.21	Usue Maitane Arconada - Robin Anderson	1:2
01.11.18	Usue Maitane Arconada - Robin Anderson	0:2
23.10.18	Usue Maitane Arconada - Robin Anderson	1:2
10.11.16	Usue Maitane Arconada - Robin Anderson	0:2

Robin Anderson - Usue Maitane Arconada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide