Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Luraghi A. (Ita)


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.31	1.63
	2.32	1.63
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
42.3%

Gianluca Mager
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Mager will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pacheco Mendez: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pacheco Mendez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mager is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacheco Mendez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mager will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
07.06.24	Luka Mikrut - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Gianluca Mager - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Orlando Luz - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Timofey Skatov - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Gianluca Mager - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Gianluca Mager - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?LL

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide