Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Roman Safiullin		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.06	1.42
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.24)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
33.1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tsitsipas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tsitsipas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tsitsipas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tsitsipas to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Los Cabos
23.02.24	Casper Ruud - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
22.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicholas David Ionel	Canceled ✺
03.02.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Marius Copil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
18.02.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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