Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Chacabuco, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Romina Ccuno		Francesca Mattioli

	1	2
	3.5	1.27
	5.38	1.11	Watch
	3.26	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.33)	1.23 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Romina Ccuno
23.3%

Francesca Mattioli
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Romina Ccuno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Romina Ccuno's form might have worsened.

Francesca Mattioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Mattioli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romina Ccuno than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Romina Ccuno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Mattioli than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Mattioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Romina Ccuno - Francesca Mattioli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ccuno is ranked WTA: 676.

Ccuno has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mattioli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ccuno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mattioli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Romina Ccuno
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Romina Ccuno - Luiza Fullana	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Romina Ccuno - Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Xiaodi You - Romina Ccuno	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Romina Ccuno - Noelia Zeballos	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Saumya Vig - Romina Ccuno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Francesca Mattioli
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Lara Julieta Estable - Francesca Mattioli	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Francesca Mattioli - Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Francesca Mattioli - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez - Francesca Mattioli	Gerald Gonzalez J. G. retired ✺
09.07.25	Sofia Cohen Perovani - Francesca Mattioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWL?W

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