Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Ruien Zhang		Tiphanie Lemaitre

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.92	1.78
	1.87	1.95
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.93
	1.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.36)	1.87 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruien Zhang
50.1%

Tiphanie Lemaitre
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruien Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ruien Zhang's performance.

Tiphanie Lemaitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiphanie Lemaitre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruien Zhang than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruien Zhang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiphanie Lemaitre than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiphanie Lemaitre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ruien Zhang - Tiphanie Lemaitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked WTA: 715. Lemaitre is ranked WTA: 370.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lemaitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lemaitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruien Zhang
Girls Singles Wimbledon
06.07.26	Jana Kovackova - Ruien Zhang	2:1
04.07.26	Ruien Zhang - Liv Zingg	2:0
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Ruien Zhang - Nadia Podoroska	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Anastasia Abbagnato - Ruien Zhang	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Ruien Zhang - Nadia Podoroska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Tiphanie Lemaitre
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Melisa Ercan - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Kristina Mladenovic	Mladenovic K. Retired ✺
18.06.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Anna Kubareva	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Tiphanie Lemaitre - Aleksandra Iankovskaia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LL?LW

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