Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Ryan Nijboer		Alejandro Juan Mano

	1	2
	1.34	2.90
	1.40	2.70
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.6)	2.84 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
67.5%

Alejandro Juan Mano
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Nijboer's performance.

Alejandro Juan Mano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Juan Mano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Nijboer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Juan Mano than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Juan Mano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Juan Mano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 482., and Juan Mano is ranked ATP: 623..

Nijboer is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Juan Mano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Juan Mano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nijboer is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Nijboer in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nijboer has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Nijboer - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Sander Jong	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Anas Mazdrashki	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Samuel De Felipe Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Alejandro Juan Mano
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Simone Agostini - Alejandro Juan Mano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sergi Fita Juan - Alejandro Juan Mano	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Pedro Rodenas - Alejandro Juan Mano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.08.23	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Juan Mano	Juan Mano A. retired

Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Juan Mano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide