Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Ryan Nijboer		Maik Steiner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.63
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	2.62 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
64.4%

Maik Steiner
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Maik Steiner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maik Steiner than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Ryan Nijboer - Maik Steiner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Nijboer (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 526. Steiner is ranked ATP: 724.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Steiner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nijboer is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Matteo Covato	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Oscar Pinto Sansano - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Noah Regas Luis - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Maik Steiner
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Etienne Niyigena - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Maik Steiner - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Maik Steiner - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Tom Gentzsch - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Ryan Nijboer - Maik Steiner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide