Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 6, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.08	1.68
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
43.8%

Marc Polmans
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryuki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ryuki Matsuda - Marc Polmans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 615. Polmans is ranked ATP: 414.

Matsuda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polmans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Polmans could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
20.05.25	Orel Kimhi - Ryuki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Alfredo Perez - Ryuki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Menelaos Efstathiou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW
- Marc Polmans
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Andreas Loizas - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Tristan McCormick - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	James Tracy - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Karl Poling - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Benjamin Willwerth - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Ryuki Matsuda - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide