Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Heraklion 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Sada Nahimana		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.17
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.47)	2.2 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sada Nahimana
57.9%

Federica Urgesi
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sada Nahimana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sada Nahimana than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sada Nahimana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sada Nahimana - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nahimana is ranked WTA: 234. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 407.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nahimana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nahimana could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sada Nahimana
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Julia Grabher - Sada Nahimana	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Sada Nahimana - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Anastasia Zolotareva - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Ana Candiotto - Sada Nahimana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Federica Urgesi - Kateryna Diatlova	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Federica Urgesi - Yasmine Kabbaj	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Federica Urgesi - Angelica Raggi	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Jennifer Ruggeri - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Angelica Raggi - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

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