Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Platja D'Aro, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Sada Nahimana		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.91	1.42
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.33
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.44)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sada Nahimana
32.1%

Francesca Curmi
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sada Nahimana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sada Nahimana's form might have worsened.

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Curmi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sada Nahimana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Sada Nahimana - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nahimana is ranked WTA: 266. Curmi is ranked WTA: 411.

Nahimana is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Curmi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nahimana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Curmi could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Curmi will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nahimana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sada Nahimana
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Despina Papamichail - Sada Nahimana	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Isis Louise Van den Broek - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sada Nahimana - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Matilde Jorge - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Francesca Curmi - Victoria Bosio	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Francesca Curmi - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group III
05.07.22	Francesca Curmi - Sada Nahimana	1:2

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