Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORTISEI (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Samir Hamza Reguig		Ryuki Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36
	2.77	1.4
	2.77	1.41
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	3.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.35)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samir Hamza Reguig
32.2%

Ryuki Matsuda
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samir Hamza Reguig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samir Hamza Reguig's form might have worsened.

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryuki Matsuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samir Hamza Reguig than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samir Hamza Reguig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryuki Matsuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hamza Reguig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Matsuda is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samir Hamza Reguig
ITF Tournaments
19.10.23	Samir Hamza Reguig - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Samir Hamza Reguig - Francesco Liucci	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Samir Hamza Reguig - Maxence Rivet	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Fabien Salle - Samir Hamza Reguig	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Samir Hamza Reguig - Aleksandr Lobanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
16.10.23	Felix Gill - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Benjamin Loccisano - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Giuseppe La Vela - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW

Samir Hamza Reguig - Ryuki Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide