Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 44, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Samir Hamza Reguig		Toufik Sahtali

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.94
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.78	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	1.88 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samir Hamza Reguig
50.8%

Toufik Sahtali
49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Samir Hamza Reguig have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Toufik Sahtali have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samir Hamza Reguig than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Samir Hamza Reguig - Toufik Sahtali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamza Reguig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hamza Reguig is ranked ATP: 804. Sahtali is ranked ATP: 837.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sahtali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Samir Hamza Reguig - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.78%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samir Hamza Reguig
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Oscar Brown	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Louis Herman	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Nicolas Ifi	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Yannik Kelm	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Toufik Sahtali - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Toufik Sahtali - Matei Todoran	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Noah Lopez - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Chen Dong - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Theo Herrmann - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLW

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