Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Almoradi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Samuel Heredia		Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios

	1	2
	1.64	2.27
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Heredia
58.1%

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Heredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuel Heredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samuel Heredia - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Heredia is ranked ATP: 759. Linde Palacios is ranked ATP: 750.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Heredia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Heredia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Heredia
ITF Tournaments
03.02.26	Samuel Heredia - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Samuel Heredia - Stefan Popovic	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Samuel Heredia - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Samuel Heredia - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Bautista Vilicich - Samuel Heredia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Cagan Celik	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Yanaki Milev - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Andrey Chepelev - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Samuel Heredia - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	1:2
12.06.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Samuel Heredia	0:2

Samuel Heredia - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide