Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Caltanissetta, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Caltanissetta 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Samuele Pieri		Gianmarco Ferrari

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Samuele Pieri
37.5%

Gianmarco Ferrari
62.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Pieri is ranked ATP: 814. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 594.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferrari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Samuele Pieri - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Samuele Pieri - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Kai Wehnelt - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Nemanja Malesevic - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Dmitry Kopilevich - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Cezar Gabriel Papoe - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Chirag Duhan - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Jay Clarke - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Samuele Pieri - Gianmarco Ferrari