Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Troisdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Sander Jong		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sander Jong
53.6%

Marvin Moeller
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sander Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sander Jong than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sander Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sander Jong - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jong is ranked ATP: 869. Moeller is ranked ATP: 401.

Jong has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moeller is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sander Jong
ITF Tournaments
22.05.26	Sander Jong - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Sander Jong - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Sander Jong	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sander Jong - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Jakub Nicod - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jonas Pelle Hartenstein - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.04.26	Jakub Nicod - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.04.26	Marvin Moeller - Lucca Helguera Casado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

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