Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Deauville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Arthur Nagel		Sander Jong

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.69
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
44.2%

Sander Jong
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Nagel's form might have worsened.

Sander Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sander Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sander Jong than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 431. Jong is ranked ATP: 866.

Nagel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jong is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Lorenzo Comino - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Luca Castagnola - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Sander Jong
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Sander Jong	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sander Jong - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Antoni Fabre - Sander Jong	Jong S. Retired ✺
19.04.26	Sander Jong - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	John Sperle - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?LW

Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide