Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 ARCADIA, CA (USA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Sara Errani		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.92	1.8
	1.9	1.84
	1.8	1.91
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.38)	1.83 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Errani
49.3%

Arantxa Rus
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Errani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Errani's performance.

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arantxa Rus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Errani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arantxa Rus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Errani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Rus to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Errani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Errani
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Sara Errani - Petra Marcinko	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Sara Errani - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Sara Errani - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Sara Errani - Christina Rosca	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.23	Sara Errani - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Arantxa Rus - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Sophie Chang - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
02.03.23	Alexis Blokhina - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
23.02.23	Kristina Dmitruk - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Magali Kempen - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Warsaw
27.07.22	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	2:1
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Sara Errani - Arantxa Rus	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.13	Arantxa Rus - Sara Errani	0:2

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