Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Granby, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Sara Saito		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.58	2.20	Watch
	1.51	2.61
	1.5	2.39	Watch
	1.49	2.55
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	2.44 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
61.8%

Sakura Hosogi
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Saito's performance.

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakura Hosogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Saito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sara Saito - Sakura Hosogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Saito will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hosogi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saito is ranked WTA: 281. Hosogi is ranked WTA: 308.

Recent performances by Saito have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hosogi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Saito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Sara Saito - Cadence Brace	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Sara Saito - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Sara Saito - Yuki Naito	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Sara Saito - Erika Sema	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Kayo Nishimura - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Ena Koike	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Julieta Pareja	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Sara Daavettila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.22	Sara Saito - Sakura Hosogi	1:2

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